Parliament adjourned this week, ending a sitting that has taken a toll on Justin Trudeau’s approval ratings.
Though a majority of Canadians still approve of the job he is doing as prime minister, that share has decreased significantly since his government approached its first summer recess around this time one year ago.
According to the CBC’s Leader Meter, which tracks the approval ratings of each of the party leaders in the House of Commons, Trudeau has averaged a 52.7 per cent approval rate in the three most recent polls, with 39.3 per cent disapproving of his performance.
In the three polls conducted just before the House adjourned in June 2016, Trudeau averaged an approval rating of 61.7 per cent, with disapproval at 32.7 per cent.
This shift is in contrast to the impact of his government’s first year in office.
In the first three polls conducted after Trudeau became prime minister, he averaged 60 per cent approval — suggesting his approval rating actually went up slightly after the fall 2015/spring 2016 parliamentary sitting.
By comparison, Trudeau’s approval rating has slipped nine points over the last year, while his disapproval rating has increased by 6.6 points.
Nevertheless, Trudeau is still the most popular government leader in the country. Polls by Mainstreet Research and the Angus Reid Institute (ARI) show that Trudeau boasts a higher approval rating nationwide than any premier does within her or his own province.
Trudeau’s declining approval ratings have been a consistent trend over the last year — and one that has been recorded by every pollster that has been in the field over that time.
Polls by Mainstreet, ARI and Forum Research have all recorded a nine to 10 point drop in Trudeau’s approval rating, with his disapproval rating increasing by eight to 11 points between June 2016 and June 2017:
Trudeau takes a hit where he’s most popular
Regional data from the Forum and ARI polls suggest that where Trudeau is the…