Can John Kerry Stop Kenya From Slipping Into Violence?

John Kerry has tasted the bitterness of political failure.

The former U.S. secretary of state lost to George W. Bush in the 2004 U.S. presidential election by 35 Electoral College votes; the margin of victory was the slimmest ever recorded for a sitting president.

But now Kerry is using that disappointment in a bid to quell rising tensions in Kenya, where the result of Tuesday’s general election—which has not even yet been confirmed—has prompted accusations of hacking and stoked fears of violence.

“I know what it’s like to lose an election. I lost by one state the presidency of the United States, and I had a lot of reasons to complain about what happened in Ohio or in other states. But you gotta get over it and move on,” said Kerry Thursday at a press conference in Nairobi, where he has headed up the election observation mission from the Carter Center. Kerry was likely referencing issues with the voting system in Ohio that led to a recount and reduced margin of victory for Bush.

John Kerry George Bush

Then–U.S. President George W. Bush, left, listens as then–Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry speaks to the audience in a debate at Washington University in St. Louis, Missouri, on October 8, 2004. DON EMMERT/AFP/Getty

The result—and perhaps more significantly, the aftermath—of Kenya’s presidential election is not yet clear. With almost 99 percent of the votes counted, incumbent Uhuru Kenyatta is in front with 54 percent of the vote, ahead of opposition leader Raila Odinga at 45 percent. Kenya’s electoral commission has said the result will be confirmed on Friday.

Read more: A brutal murder in Kenya highlights why its election matters to the U.S.

But Odinga has signaled he will not accept the result quietly. Odinga stated on Thursday that unknown figures had hacked into the electronic systems of the electoral commission—using the identity of Chris Msando, the commission’s IT chief who was tortured and murdered less than two weeks before the vote—and swayed the vote in favor of Kenyatta. Odinga has called for calm but has also not ruled out summoning his supporters to the streets.

Such a move would have a dreadful familiarity in Kenya. After the 2007 election, which Odinga lost to incumbent Mwai Kibaki amid allegations of rigging, supporters of both candidates clashed over several months in an ethnically charged conflict that left more than 1,000 people dead.

Raila Odinga supporters

Supporters of Kenyan…

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