Be Careful on MLB Betting With These Hot Starters


You know those great hot starters? Yes right. Those hot starters which once in your life, fooled you to put all your MLB betting on their team because they look like they are really good and will make you win huge money. Each MLB season has it. And today, I’m going to list out some of the hot starters today on MLB 2012. I didn’t tell you not to bet on them. I’m just telling you I’m not buying it and doubt that it will last. Here are they:


Edwin Encarnacion, DH, Toronto Blue Jays

Edwin Encarnacion has been on fire this season, as he finds himself sitting on nine home runs and a .931 OPS, after hitting a total of 17 home runs with a .787 OPS last year.Not surprisingly, Encarnacion has cooled off in May. He has two hits so far this month, and has gone hitless in each of Toronto’s last four games.


This is just the beginning of Encarnacion’s cool-down. The fact of the matter is that he was putting up numbers that weren’t sustainable, and they still look that way.


Bronson Arroyo, SP, Cincinnati Reds

Bronson Arroyo was historically bad last season. This year, Arroyo looks completely refreshed, and he’s been mowing hitters down on a regular basis. A little too regular, I think. After his win on Monday against the Brewers, Arroyo has his ERA down to 2.75 and his WHIP down to 1.17. He’s helped himself by upping his strikeout rate this season, and decreasing his BB/9 to a razor-thin 0.92. Arroyo, however, remains hittable. Opponents are hitting him at a .275 clip this season, which isn’t far off from the .286 clip they hit him at last season, and it’s actually par for the course for hitters against Arroyo ever since the beginning of the 2007 season.


This suggests his early-season success is not sustainable. So does his 3.73 xFIP, which will likely climb into the 4.00s before long (also par for the course for Arroyo). He may not be historically bad again, but he’s not this good.

Wei-Yin Chen, SP, Baltimore Orioles


The quality of Baltimore’s…

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